What is the status of the epidemic and the progress of the vaccine in Russia, as the world struggles with the development of New Coronary Pneumonia?
Russia’s geopolitical conditions were inherently flawed and vulnerable to squeezes from both East and West. Russia therefore had an inherent urge to expand its territory and to extend its strategic buffer, and after centuries of territorial expansion, Russia became the largest country in the world in terms of land area. It was also because of the strategic depth of its vast territory, and the cold that others could not resist, that Russia defeated two powerful enemies, the Napoleonic and Nazi Empires.
With a divorce rate of 51% in 2019, Russia has one of the highest divorce rates in the world. Russia has one of the easiest divorce procedures in the world, with couples only having to go to the registry office to get their marriage dissolved.
The above news is from Sohu.
In this blog, I will use one dataset, owid-covid-data.csv to explore the development of covid-19 in Russia. This data from our world data website.
The owid-covid-data.csv shows the daily development of new coronary pneumonia worldwide, including cases, deaths, vaccine numbers and other relevant data. After cleaning, only part of the data for Russia is shown. The detail of each variable shows below.
| Variable | Class | Description |
|---|---|---|
| date | date | Date of observation |
| total_cases | double | Total confirmed cases of COVID-19 |
| new_cases | double | New confirmed cases of COVID-19 |
| total_cases_per_million | double | Total confirmed cases of COVID-19 per 1,000,000 people |
| total_deaths | double | Total deaths attributed to COVID-19 |
| new_deaths | double | New deaths attributed to COVID-19 |
| total_tests | double | Total tests for COVID-19 |
| total_tests_per_thousand | double | Total tests for COVID-19 per 1,000 people |
| total_vaccinations | double | Total number of COVID-19 vaccination doses administered |
| people_fully_vaccinated | double | Total number of people who received all doses prescribed by the vaccination protocol |
The following information on COVID-19 in Russia is updated daily.
| date | total_cases | cases_per_million | total_deaths | deaths_per_million | fully_vaccinated_per_hundred |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-01-31 | 2 | 0.014 | NA | NA | NA |
| 2020-02-28 | 2 | 0.014 | NA | NA | NA |
| 2020-03-31 | 2337 | 16.017 | 17 | 0.117 | NA |
| 2020-04-30 | 106498 | 729.878 | 1073 | 7.354 | NA |
| 2020-05-31 | 405843 | 2781.423 | 4693 | 32.163 | NA |
| 2020-06-30 | 646929 | 4433.692 | 9306 | 63.778 | NA |
| 2020-07-31 | 838461 | 5746.346 | 13939 | 95.530 | NA |
| 2020-08-31 | 992402 | 6801.372 | 17128 | 117.386 | NA |
| 2020-09-30 | 1170799 | 8024.006 | 20630 | 141.387 | NA |
| 2020-10-31 | 1606267 | 11008.462 | 27787 | 190.437 | NA |
| 2020-11-30 | 2275936 | 15598.002 | 39491 | 270.649 | NA |
| 2020-12-31 | 3127347 | 21433.100 | 56271 | 385.650 | NA |
| 2021-01-31 | 3808348 | 26100.303 | 72029 | 493.647 | NA |
| 2021-02-28 | 4198400 | 28773.503 | 84700 | 580.487 | NA |
| 2021-03-31 | 4494234 | 30800.985 | 97219 | 666.285 | 2.99 |
| 2021-04-30 | 4750755 | 32559.038 | 108290 | 742.160 | 5.16 |
| 2021-05-31 | 5013512 | 34359.828 | 119464 | 818.740 | 8.17 |
| 2021-06-30 | 5449594 | 37348.492 | 132973 | 911.323 | 11.88 |
| 2021-07-31 | 6185249 | 42390.263 | 155952 | 1068.808 | 17.33 |
| 2021-08-31 | 6820697 | 46745.271 | 180009 | 1233.682 | 25.00 |
The table above shows the monthly changes in the development of the epidemic in Russia since records began.
We can see that since April 2020 the epidemic in Russia has started to spiral out of control, with monthly increases in the tens of thousands. Since the beginning of April 2020, the epidemic in Russia has started to get out of hand, with monthly increases in the tens of thousands.
By August 2021, the total number of confirmed cases in Russia reached a staggering 6803323, with 46,626 confirmed cases per million people, a confirmation rate of 4.66%.The number of deaths due to Neoconiosis in Russia is also alarming. As of August 2021, the cumulative number of deaths in Russia reached 179,233, with 1,228 deaths per million.
So, how is the vaccine progressing in Russia? As you can see, vaccine rollout in Russia is not progressing very quickly at the moment, with a complete vaccination rate of only 25% per 100 people as of August this year, and that’s after accelerating the rate, which was only 17% per 100 people in Russia back in July. I believe that one of the reasons for the poor control of the epidemic in Russia is the poor progress of the vaccine, but at today’s rate of progress, vaccination progress will advance significantly.
The reasons for the lack of vaccine rollout are surprising. According to theconversation website, the government’s unfavourable rollout is one reason, and another reason lies in the public’s distrust of the government and the medical establishment.
Image
Association Montessori Internationale. 2021. Russia. [online] Available at: https://montessori-ami.org/countries/russia [Accessed 1 September 2021].
Csis.org. 2021. Russia’s Response to Covid-19. [online] Available at: https://www.csis.org/analysis/russias-response-covid-19 [Accessed 1 September 2021].
Data
Our World in Data. 2021. COVID-19 Data Explorer. [online] Available at: https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer [Accessed 1 September 2021].
Textual references
Sohu.com. 2021. 趣谈俄罗斯是一个什么样的国家_普京. [online] Available at: https://www.sohu.com/a/357668751_100098218 [Accessed 1 September 2021].
The Conversation. 2021. Russia’s COVID-19 response slowed by population reluctant to take domestic vaccine. [online] Available at: https://theconversation.com/russias-covid-19-response-slowed-by-population-reluctant-to-take-domestic-vaccine-165925 [Accessed 1 September 2021].
Package
Hao Zhu (2021). kableExtra: Construct Complex Table with ‘kable’ and Pipe Syntax. R package version 1.3.4. https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=kableExtra
Simon Urbanek (2013). png: Read and write PNG images. R package version 0.1-7. https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=png
Wickham et al., (2019). Welcome to the tidyverse. Journal of Open Source Software, 4(43), 1686, https://doi.org/10.21105/joss.01686
Yihui Xie, Joe Cheng and Xianying Tan (2021). DT: A Wrapper of the JavaScript Library ‘DataTables’. R package version 0.18. https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=DT